Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.034636 0.037684 0.040740 0.044030 0.047465 0.050941 0.054717
2026-01-25 0.028410 0.032826 0.037398 0.042463 0.047895 0.053525 0.059783
2026-02-01 0.024291 0.029684 0.035432 0.041962 0.049123 0.056692 0.065254
2026-02-08 0.021191 0.027309 0.034005 0.041783 0.050480 0.059824 0.070545
2026-02-15 0.019497 0.026306 0.033931 0.042951 0.053191 0.064334 0.077260
2026-02-22 0.017934 0.025292 0.033709 0.043835 0.055489 0.068312 0.083327
2026-03-01 0.016372 0.024136 0.033207 0.044296 0.057223 0.071592 0.088562
2026-03-08 0.014872 0.022930 0.032545 0.044481 0.058566 0.074373 0.093185
2026-03-15 0.013961 0.022380 0.032606 0.045466 0.060792 0.078122 0.098876
2026-03-22 0.012332 0.020795 0.031312 0.044751 0.060961 0.079460 0.101776
2026-03-29 0.011315 0.019934 0.030857 0.044999 0.062225 0.082027 0.106056
2026-04-05 0.010563 0.019375 0.030738 0.045624 0.063909 0.085063 0.110858
2026-04-12 0.009775 0.018735 0.030509 0.046123 0.065473 0.088002 0.115610
2026-04-19 0.008242 0.016930 0.028683 0.044557 0.064482 0.087898 0.116798
2026-04-26 0.007253 0.015837 0.027740 0.044062 0.064766 0.089276 0.119699
2026-05-03 0.006468 0.014984 0.027075 0.043888 0.065417 0.091073 0.123077
2026-05-10 0.006198 0.014915 0.027475 0.045093 0.067781 0.094926 0.128887
2026-05-17 0.005858 0.014705 0.027661 0.046004 0.069768 0.098320 0.134155
2026-05-24 0.005414 0.014288 0.027531 0.046479 0.071195 0.101029 0.138602
2026-05-31 0.004925 0.013753 0.027205 0.046670 0.072247 0.103272 0.142487
2026-06-07 0.004695 0.013649 0.027493 0.047682 0.074340 0.106785 0.147893
2026-06-14 0.004037 0.012715 0.026518 0.046948 0.074173 0.107511 0.149940
2026-06-21 0.003674 0.012289 0.026278 0.047202 0.075267 0.109778 0.153836